TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
NorthStars - Oram
5–3
Northeast Generals - Ruggiero
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
NorthStars - Oram 39.6%
Draw 15.3%
45.1% Northeast Generals - Ruggiero
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.34 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Oram, columns = Northeast Generals - Ruggiero.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.