TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal
3–4
Minuteman Flames - Hayes
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal 35.3%
Draw 15.7%
49.0% Minuteman Flames - Hayes
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.03 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal, columns = Minuteman Flames - Hayes.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.