TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Top Gun - Rome
2–2
Spartans - Healey
UPSET
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun - Rome 42.1%
Draw 16.8%
41.1% Spartans - Healey
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Major upset
2.57 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Rome, columns = Spartans - Healey.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.