TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Hayes
3–3
Northeast Generals - Ruggiero
UPSET
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Hayes 24.6%
Draw 13.7%
61.7% Northeast Generals - Ruggiero
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Major upset
2.87 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Hayes, columns = Northeast Generals - Ruggiero.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.