TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Top Gun - Rome
4–3
Northern Cyclones - Bartlett
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun - Rome 49.0%
Draw 15.1%
35.9% Northern Cyclones - Bartlett
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.03 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Rome, columns = Northern Cyclones - Bartlett.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.