TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal
5–4
Northeast Generals - Ruggiero
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal 18.6%
Draw 11.7%
69.6% Northeast Generals - Ruggiero
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
2.43 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal, columns = Northeast Generals - Ruggiero.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.