TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Hayes
0–5
NorthStars - Oram
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Hayes 27.4%
Draw 15.0%
57.6% NorthStars - Oram
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.80 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Hayes, columns = NorthStars - Oram.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.