TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Hayes
2–3
NorthStars - Oram
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Hayes 32.2%
67.8% NorthStars - Oram
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.56 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Hayes, columns = NorthStars - Oram.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.