TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames
3–3
Seacoast Spartans
UPSET
Current model vs. Result
190 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 22.1%
Draw 15.1%
62.8% Seacoast Spartans
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Major upset
2.73 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Seacoast Spartans.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.