TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames
1–5
Islanders Hockey Club (East)
Current model vs. Result
190 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 17.9%
Draw 15.0%
67.1% Islanders Hockey Club (East)
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.58 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Islanders Hockey Club (East).
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.