TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Minuteman Flames
1–6
Top Gun
Current model vs. Result
190 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 2.8%
Draw 4.5%
92.7% Top Gun
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.11 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.