TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Seacoast Spartans
2–4
Top Gun
Current model vs. Result
190 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Seacoast Spartans 8.6%
Draw 10.0%
81.4% Top Gun
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.30 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Seacoast Spartans, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.