TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 08, 2026
Boston Jr Terriers (Red)
3–1
Top Gun
UPSET
Current model vs. Result
190 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 16.8%
83.2% Top Gun
Favored
Underdog
Major upset
2.57 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Terriers (Red), columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.