TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2013 Elite
3–6
Islanders Hockey Club
Current model vs. Result
168 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Breakers 2013 Elite 16.0%
Draw 13.2%
70.8% Islanders Hockey Club
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.50 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2013 Elite, columns = Islanders Hockey Club.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.