TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Boston Jr Terriers
4–5
Top Gun
Current model vs. Result
168 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Terriers 36.7%
Draw 17.6%
45.7% Top Gun
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.13 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Terriers, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.