TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames
3–3
Boston Jr Eagles
UPSET
Current model vs. Result
168 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 17.8%
Draw 12.3%
69.9% Boston Jr Eagles
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Major upset
3.02 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Boston Jr Eagles.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.