TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Providence Capitals - Andreozzi
0–3
Bay State Breakers 2013 Elite
Current model vs. Result
168 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals - Andreozzi 5.8%
Draw 8.8%
85.4% Bay State Breakers 2013 Elite
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.23 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals - Andreozzi, columns = Bay State Breakers 2013 Elite.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.