TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Providence Capitals - Andreozzi
0–4
Islanders Hockey Club
Current model vs. Result
168 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals - Andreozzi 1.0%
Draw 2.3%
96.8% Islanders Hockey Club
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.05 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals - Andreozzi, columns = Islanders Hockey Club.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.