TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
Top Gun
2–3
Minuteman Flames
Current model vs. Result
168 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun 14.5%
Draw 12.9%
72.5% Minuteman Flames
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.46 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun, columns = Minuteman Flames.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.