TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Final · Mar 08, 2026
Boston Jr Eagles
3–4
Islanders Hockey Club
Current model vs. Result
168 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Eagles 38.3%
61.7% Islanders Hockey Club
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.70 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Eagles, columns = Islanders Hockey Club.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.