TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 08, 2026
Minuteman Flames
1–5
Boston Jr Eagles
Current model vs. Result
168 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 20.3%
79.7% Boston Jr Eagles
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.33 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Boston Jr Eagles.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.