TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1
· Mar 07, 2026
Top Gun
0–5
Minuteman Flames
Pre-game Probabilities
Elimination game — ties go to overtime. Draw probability has been redistributed.
Top Gun 19.0%
81.0% Minuteman Flames
Favored
Underdog
Expected Goals — Top Gun
2.5
Expected Goals — Minuteman Flames
4.5
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun, columns = Minuteman Flames.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.