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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames
3–2
Providence Capitals - Rotz

Current model vs. Result

165 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Flames 23.0% Draw 17.8% 59.3% Providence Capitals - Rotz
Minuteman Flames won
Favored Draw Underdog
Mild upset

2.12 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Providence Capitals - Rotz.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.