TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames
1–4
Top Gun
Current model vs. Result
165 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 5.1%
Draw 6.3%
88.6% Top Gun
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.17 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.