TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Providence Capitals - Rotz
1–3
Boston Jr Eagles
Current model vs. Result
165 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals - Rotz 7.7%
Draw 9.2%
83.1% Boston Jr Eagles
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.27 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals - Rotz, columns = Boston Jr Eagles.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.