TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1 · Feb 28, 2026
South Shore Kings
1–9
Islanders Hockey Club
Current model vs. Result
165 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
South Shore Kings 5.0%
95.0% Islanders Hockey Club
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.07 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = South Shore Kings, columns = Islanders Hockey Club.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.