TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Feb 28, 2026
Top Gun
1–4
Boston Jr Eagles
Current model vs. Result
165 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun 31.4%
68.6% Boston Jr Eagles
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.54 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun, columns = Boston Jr Eagles.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.