TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Islanders Hockey Club (East)
0–3
Seacoast Spartans
Current model vs. Result
182 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Islanders Hockey Club (East) 15.6%
Draw 12.2%
72.1% Seacoast Spartans
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.47 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Islanders Hockey Club (East), columns = Seacoast Spartans.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.