TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Hogan
3–2
South Shore Kings
Current model vs. Result
182 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Hogan 31.9%
Draw 15.7%
52.4% South Shore Kings
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
1.65 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Hogan, columns = South Shore Kings.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.