TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Providence Capitals (North) - Batista
3–5
Boston Jr Eagles
Current model vs. Result
182 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals (North) - Batista 26.4%
Draw 12.3%
61.4% Boston Jr Eagles
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.70 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals (North) - Batista, columns = Boston Jr Eagles.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.