TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Boston Jr Eagles
3–6
Minuteman Flames - Hogan
Current model vs. Result
182 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Eagles 36.5%
63.5% Minuteman Flames - Hogan
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.66 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Eagles, columns = Minuteman Flames - Hogan.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.