TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
NorthStars Hockey Club
4–5
Seacoast Spartans
Current model vs. Result
182 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
NorthStars Hockey Club 12.7%
87.3% Seacoast Spartans
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.20 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars Hockey Club, columns = Seacoast Spartans.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.