TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Islanders Hockey Club
1–5
Top Gun
Current model vs. Result
166 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Islanders Hockey Club 15.0%
Draw 12.1%
72.9% Top Gun
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.46 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Islanders Hockey Club, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.