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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames
3–3
Bay State Breakers 2015 Elite
UPSET

Current model vs. Result

166 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Flames 7.8% Draw 7.5% 84.7% Bay State Breakers 2015 Elite
Result: draw
Favored Draw Underdog
Major upset

3.74 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Bay State Breakers 2015 Elite.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.