TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Boston Jr Eagles
2–1
Providence Capitals - Vanacore
Current model vs. Result
166 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Eagles 41.6%
Draw 17.0%
41.3% Providence Capitals - Vanacore
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.27 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Eagles, columns = Providence Capitals - Vanacore.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.