TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2015 Elite
1–5
Top Gun
Current model vs. Result
166 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Breakers 2015 Elite 14.7%
Draw 13.3%
72.0% Top Gun
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.47 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2015 Elite, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.