TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames
0–7
Islanders Hockey Club
Current model vs. Result
166 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 6.1%
Draw 5.8%
88.1% Islanders Hockey Club
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.18 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Islanders Hockey Club.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.