TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Final · Mar 08, 2026
Boston Jr Eagles
1–4
Top Gun
Current model vs. Result
166 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Eagles 35.9%
64.1% Top Gun
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.64 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Eagles, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.