TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
Boston Jr Eagles
4–1
Providence Capitals - Vanacore
Current model vs. Result
166 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Eagles 50.2%
49.8% Providence Capitals - Vanacore
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.99 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Eagles, columns = Providence Capitals - Vanacore.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.