Back to Tournament
TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite
4–4
Top Gun
UPSET

Current model vs. Result

169 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite 18.4% Draw 11.8% 69.9% Top Gun
Result: draw
Favored Draw Underdog
Major upset

3.08 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite, columns = Top Gun.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.