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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite
1–5
Minuteman Flames

Current model vs. Result

169 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite 42.7% Draw 15.4% 41.9% Minuteman Flames
Minuteman Flames won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

1.25 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite, columns = Minuteman Flames.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.