TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
South Shore Kings
2–6
Minuteman Flames
Current model vs. Result
169 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
South Shore Kings 11.4%
Draw 8.9%
79.7% Minuteman Flames
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.33 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = South Shore Kings, columns = Minuteman Flames.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.