TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Minuteman Flames
7–6
Top Gun
Current model vs. Result
169 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 18.5%
81.5% Top Gun
Favored
Underdog
Mild upset
2.43 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.