TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Waves 2017 Elite
2–6
Boston Jr Dogs
Current model vs. Result
152 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Waves 2017 Elite 26.8%
Draw 13.9%
59.3% Boston Jr Dogs
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.75 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Waves 2017 Elite, columns = Boston Jr Dogs.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.