TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Sparks
2–8
Young Guns
Current model vs. Result
152 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Sparks 3.9%
Draw 3.8%
92.3% Young Guns
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.12 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks, columns = Young Guns.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.