TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Minuteman Sparks
0–10
Team Merrimack
Current model vs. Result
152 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Sparks 0.0%
100.0% Team Merrimack
Favored
Underdog
As expected
-0.00 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.