TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Providence
4–1
Young Guns
Current model vs. Result
152 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence 41.6%
Draw 12.6%
45.8% Young Guns
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.27 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence, columns = Young Guns.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.