TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
Providence
2–12
Boston Jr Dogs
Current model vs. Result
152 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence 5.0%
95.0% Boston Jr Dogs
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.07 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence, columns = Boston Jr Dogs.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.