TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Final · Mar 08, 2026
Boston Jr Dogs
3–6
Team Merrimack
Current model vs. Result
152 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Dogs 22.2%
77.8% Team Merrimack
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.36 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Dogs, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.