TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Team Boston
0–6
Team Merrimack
Current model vs. Result
152 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Team Boston 0.4%
99.6% Team Merrimack
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.01 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Boston, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.